Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.154981 0.176895 0.201566 0.231548 0.267198 0.308476 0.360245
2025-07-13 0.121724 0.150592 0.186539 0.235245 0.300538 0.386546 0.510979
2025-07-20 0.102236 0.134150 0.176983 0.240094 0.333226 0.469838 0.693849
2025-07-27 0.089068 0.122367 0.169790 0.244602 0.364266 0.557003 0.911091
2025-08-03 0.079931 0.114114 0.165298 0.250958 0.398141 0.656411 1.185201
2025-08-10 0.071950 0.106044 0.159289 0.253008 0.424446 0.749376 1.485479
2025-08-17 0.065295 0.098918 0.153384 0.253637 0.447707 0.842771 1.829087
2025-08-24 0.059452 0.092238 0.147072 0.252083 0.466022 0.931270 2.205849
2025-08-31 0.054202 0.085852 0.140285 0.248257 0.478595 1.010912 2.603836
2025-09-07 0.051119 0.082757 0.138809 0.254280 0.513347 1.154206 3.278082
2025-09-14 0.047052 0.077468 0.132612 0.249640 0.522976 1.237673 3.818922
2025-09-21 0.044305 0.074248 0.129872 0.251723 0.548987 1.375307 4.667039
2025-09-28 0.041197 0.070111 0.124985 0.248615 0.562246 1.484333 5.514807
2025-10-05 0.039209 0.067889 0.123636 0.253305 0.597405 1.677992 6.966654
2025-10-12 0.037483 0.065988 0.122698 0.258796 0.636520 1.905038 8.904076
2025-10-19 0.035867 0.064137 0.121629 0.263789 0.675866 2.155014 11.393361
2025-10-26 0.034550 0.062750 0.121373 0.270778 0.723621 2.466812 14.942179
2025-11-02 0.032979 0.060697 0.119415 0.273033 0.757270 2.742213 18.887528
2025-11-09 0.031431 0.058556 0.117018 0.273725 0.786220 3.017376 23.645278
2025-11-16 0.029855 0.056220 0.113928 0.272019 0.806609 3.267366 29.014169
2025-11-23 0.028252 0.053702 0.110162 0.267819 0.817015 3.475739 34.731470
2025-11-30 0.027427 0.052798 0.110119 0.274431 0.870850 3.971563 47.302286
2025-12-07 0.025992 0.050444 0.106345 0.269336 0.877179 4.192045 56.511569